Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004245 0.004466 0.004692 0.004942 0.005210 0.005490 0.005804
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003809 0.004132 0.004478 0.004876 0.005324 0.005815 0.006394
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003615 0.004006 0.004436 0.004948 0.005544 0.006219 0.007050
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003430 0.003864 0.004352 0.004948 0.005660 0.006492 0.007548
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003259 0.003722 0.004253 0.004913 0.005721 0.006688 0.007952
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003087 0.003565 0.004122 0.004827 0.005707 0.006784 0.008226
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002945 0.003435 0.004014 0.004760 0.005707 0.006889 0.008507
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002853 0.003361 0.003969 0.004764 0.005791 0.007099 0.008933
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002692 0.003193 0.003800 0.004602 0.005652 0.007009 0.008946
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002623 0.003138 0.003768 0.004612 0.005735 0.007212 0.009366
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002605 0.003144 0.003813 0.004722 0.005952 0.007603 0.010068
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002519 0.003060 0.003738 0.004668 0.005944 0.007683 0.010326
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002441 0.002985 0.003673 0.004628 0.005954 0.007790 0.010633
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002360 0.002903 0.003596 0.004568 0.005934 0.007852 0.010877
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002333 0.002892 0.003612 0.004634 0.006093 0.008177 0.011539
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002284 0.002847 0.003581 0.004634 0.006155 0.008363 0.011994
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002225 0.002789 0.003529 0.004601 0.006168 0.008474 0.012333
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002153 0.002711 0.003448 0.004523 0.006110 0.008472 0.012484
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002090 0.002644 0.003380 0.004461 0.006073 0.008500 0.012686
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002054 0.002611 0.003357 0.004465 0.006133 0.008681 0.013155
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001967 0.002508 0.003234 0.004316 0.005957 0.008480 0.012953
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001937 0.002482 0.003218 0.004326 0.006023 0.008668 0.013441
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001938 0.002499 0.003263 0.004426 0.006233 0.009098 0.014393